Illinois State Water Survey - University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

State Climatologist Office for Illinois

Temperatures and Precipitation during El Niño Years in the Midwest

Dr. Jim Angel, State Climatologist

The temperature and precipitation for the Midwest (IL, IN, IA, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, and WI) were examined during previous El Niño events. The rank is based on data for the Midwest back to 1895. The temperature rankings go from coldest to warmest. The precipitation rankings go from driest to wettest.

While there appears to be some impact of El Niño on the climate in the Midwestern, a wide spectrum of climate conditions have occurred during past events. This illustrates that there are other factors influencing our climate, perhaps the most important is the natural variability of the climate system.

Table 1. Summer (June - July - August) during El Niño events. Only those years when a strong signal was present were used.
  Temperature Precipitation
Year Rank Departure from Normal Rank Departure from Normal
1951 16 -1.9°F 96 +21%
1957 61 +0.2°F 79 +7%
1963 51 -0.2°F 23 -10%
1965 17 -1.7°F 53 -1%
1969 29 -1.1°F 84 +9%
1972 20 -1.7°F 67 +4%
1976 45 -0.5°F 5 -24%
1982 10 -2.4°F 77 +6%
1987 85 +1.4°F 80 +7%
1991 83 +1.4°F 10 -21%


Table 2. Fall (September - October - November) during El Niño events. Only those years when a strong signal was present were used.
  Temperature Precipitation
Year Rank Departure from Normal Rank Departure from Normal
1951 5 -3.2°F 75 +14%
1957 25 -1.6°F 64 +5%
1963 101 +4.1°F 4 -45%
1965 48 -0.4°F 83 +23%
1969 30 -1.4°F 54 -1%
1972 18 -2.0°F 90 +27%
1976 1 -5.0°F 6 -43%
1982 46 -0.5°F 74 +13%
1986 39 -0.7°F 99 +45%
1987 44 -0.6°F 6 -37%
1991 16 -2.2°F 88 +25%


Table 3. Winter (December - January - February) during El Niño events. Only those years when a strong signal was present were used.
  Temperature Precipitation
Year Rank Departure from Normal Rank Departure from Normal
1951-52 86 +1.9°F 76 +13%
1957-58 61 +0.4°F 27 -15%
1963-64 38 -1.2°F 4 -44%
1965-66 48 -0.4°F 56 0%
1969-70 18 -3.5°F 7 -34%
1972-73 56 +0.0°F 64 +5%
1976-77 6 -6.8°F 3 -47%
1982-83 100 +5.1°F 77 +14%
1986-87 96 +4.2°F 6 -37%
1987-88 42 -1.0°F 80 +16%
1991-92 101 +5.2°F 31 -12%


Table 4. Spring (March - April - May) during El Niño events. Only those years when a strong signal was present were used. Note that this is the spring after El Niño starts.
  Temperature Precipitation
Year Rank Departure from Normal Rank Departure from Normal
1958 54 +0.0°F 12 -28%
1983 21 -1.8°F 98 +23%
1987 101 +4.5°F 16 -26%
1992 59 +0.3°F 18 -23%