ROLE OF THE STATE WATER SURVEY
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CHANGE
Global Temperature and CO2 Levels
Painting Pictures About Future Climate
GROWING SENSITIVITY TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CHANGE
Confluence of the Illinois, Mississippi and Missouri Rivers
RECENT MAJOR LOSSES IN ILLINOIS
Midwest Storms with > $100 million property damage
SOCIETAL FACTORS LEADING TO INCREASED VULNERABILITY TO EXTREMES
The growth of the Chicago Metropolitan area from 1830 to 1990
Natural disasters cost money – yours
CLIMATE HISTORY: USING THE PAST AS A GUIDE TO THE FUTURE
Pleistocene glacial ice sheets
Illinois Temperature and CO2 Levels
Temperature trends for the U.S. in degrees Fahrenheit
Inconsistency between eastern USA cooling and global model warming
Annual Precipitation for Illinois
Increase in Precipitation in Mid-latitudes in 20th Century
Reconstruct Historical Climates
HUMAN-INDUCED CLIMATE CHANGE: HOW LARGE WILL THIS BE?
CO2 Concentration in Global Atmosphere
SOME HUMAN ACTIVITIES CAN COOL CLIMATE
SOME CLIMATE CHANGE “DRIVERS” TO 2100 (IPCC)
Global Climate Model Projections, Annual Temperatures – Illinois
Global Climate Model Projections, Annual Precipitation – Illinois
Model Simplifications and Uncertainties
Future Economic Impacts to U.S. Agriculture as Estimated Using Two Climate Models
CLIMATE IN ILLINOIS IN 2040 AND BEYOND
RANGE OF POSSIBLE FUTURE CLIMATIC CONDITIONS BASED ON THE PAST
THE PAST AS A GUIDE TO THE FUTURE
THE PAST AS A GUIDE TO THE FUTURE
A PLAN FOR REDUCING UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FUTURE CLIMATE OF ILLINOIS
Regional climate model – resolution
Global climate model – resolution grid of U.S.
Global climate model – resolution grid of Illinois
Regional climate model – resolution grid of Illinois
Regional Climate Model Skill: Daily Fluctuations
How will regional climate modeling reduce uncertainties